Real-time computation (or estimation) of the "probability to win" is difficult. We've seem that in soccer games, in elections... but actually, as a professor, I see that frequently when I grade my students. Consider a classical multiple choice exam. After each question, imagine that you try to compute the probability that the student will pass. Consider here the case where we have 50 questions. Students pass when they have 25 correct answers, or more. Just for simulations, I will assume that ..
A company bidding by sealed tender needs to know the relationship between their bid price and their ...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
In this article we analyse the “two-dice horse race” task often used in lower secondary school, in w...
We study the complexity of estimating the probability of an outcome in an election over probabilisti...
Multiple-choice exam? I will guess! Multiple-choice questions are objective and can easily and quic...
We use the theoretical framework of tournament theory to obtain a statistical foundation for the mos...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
Not too long ago, statistics courses in the United States consisted of some statistics and lots of p...
In a prediction tournament, contestants “forecast” by asserting a numerical probability for each of ...
Who will win the European Cup in Portugal? Many people have an opinion on this issue, and of course ...
My work about statistics and probability. I realize that in some cases we can guess events by looki...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
We investigate the extent to which it is possible to evaluate the probability of a particular candid...
This study considers probability models as tools for both making informal statistical inferences and...
A student's choice of an answer to a test question is a 7oarse measure of his knowledge about t...
A company bidding by sealed tender needs to know the relationship between their bid price and their ...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
In this article we analyse the “two-dice horse race” task often used in lower secondary school, in w...
We study the complexity of estimating the probability of an outcome in an election over probabilisti...
Multiple-choice exam? I will guess! Multiple-choice questions are objective and can easily and quic...
We use the theoretical framework of tournament theory to obtain a statistical foundation for the mos...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
Not too long ago, statistics courses in the United States consisted of some statistics and lots of p...
In a prediction tournament, contestants “forecast” by asserting a numerical probability for each of ...
Who will win the European Cup in Portugal? Many people have an opinion on this issue, and of course ...
My work about statistics and probability. I realize that in some cases we can guess events by looki...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
We investigate the extent to which it is possible to evaluate the probability of a particular candid...
This study considers probability models as tools for both making informal statistical inferences and...
A student's choice of an answer to a test question is a 7oarse measure of his knowledge about t...
A company bidding by sealed tender needs to know the relationship between their bid price and their ...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
In this article we analyse the “two-dice horse race” task often used in lower secondary school, in w...